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The Future of US-Mexico Trade: Navigating the USMCA and Adapting to Election Shifts

Trade Relations
US-Mexico Trade

As the CEO of Intermestic Partners, a leading international business advisory firm focused on cross-border trade and development, I have a deep understanding of the intricate relationship between the United States and Mexico. Trade between these two nations is the lifeblood of both economies, with billions of dollars worth of goods and services traversing the border each year.


The advent of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 2020, has ushered in a new era of trade dynamics. While the USMCA aimed to strengthen economic growth across North America, it has also posed significant challenges, particularly for Mexico. The stricter rules of origin, for instance, have forced Mexican producers to source more materials from the US or Canada, potentially harming local industries.


At Intermestic Partners, we have been closely monitoring the impact of these policy changes on various sectors, including agriculture, automotive, and pharmaceuticals. Our team of experienced advisors understands that the outcome of US elections can significantly influence the course of this relationship, as evidenced by the stark contrast between the free trade policies of the Obama administration and the protectionist stance of the Trump administration.


As we approach the next US elections, the trade policies of the candidates will serve as a bellwether for the future of US-Mexico trade. A move towards protectionism could lead to further amendments to the USMCA or the introduction of new trade barriers, while a stance favoring free trade could provide a more favorable environment for Mexican producers.


At Intermestic Partners, we believe that continuous shifts in policy can breed uncertainty and hinder sustainable growth, affecting businesses on both sides of the border. Our team of experts, with my unique background as the former mayor of a border city, the director of the Arizona Department of Commerce, and the chief of staff at US Customs and Border Protection, is well-equipped to help companies navigate these complex trade dynamics.


I invite readers to reach out to Intermestic Partners to collaborate on navigating the evolving US-Mexico trade landscape. By leveraging our deep understanding of cross-border trade and our extensive network of industry connections, we can help businesses seize the opportunities and mitigate the risks presented by the ever-changing political landscape.

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